Fantasy Forensics

Fantasy Player Values

Format
Dynasty prices — long-term value, picks count Draft Room · Rookie draft ↗
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DYNASTY VALUE ALGORITHM

Price every player.
Win every trade.

dynasty & redraft on one board

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The Wire
Superflex · PPR · TE +0.75 · 6-pt TD
# Player Pos Age Team Value Trend 3-wk
This week's movers
▲ Top risers
▼ Top fallers
How this board works

Every price on this board is computed by our proprietary Dynasty Value Algorithm — a two-clock engine that combines production, role and usage, age curves, and availability into a single value for every player, then adjusts for this league’s scoring. A bounded model tilt keeps any one signal from dominating: the engine may lean a value at most ±15% from the algorithm’s calibrated baseline, and only 83 players lean as far as ±12% — those are flagged Leads algorithm / Lags algorithm, priced for the format set in the League Format block in More. Tap “Why?” on any player to see the full math.

Your team & the league live here

Connect a league and this page opens with your team — power rank, playoff odds, this week's matchup, and top waiver targets — followed by power rankings for every roster, each graded on starting-lineup strength, total roster value, draft-pick capital, and points scored, and tagged Win-Now, Tweener, or Rebuilder. You’re browsing as a guest, so there’s no league to show yet.

Your Team

Power Rankings

How this works

Your team first, then the whole league. The spotlight card up top carries your power rank, playoff odds from the 10,000-sim Season Outlook, the current matchup, and your top waiver targets — tap any number and that league opens in the matching tool. Below it, every roster is graded on the same algorithm-driven engine: starting-lineup strength, total roster value, draft-pick capital, and points scored so far this season, each tagged Win-Now, Tweener, or Rebuilder from its age curve, pick share, and record — tap a team to see its full roster and picks, and exactly where yours stacks up.

Season outlook lives here

The rest of the season, simulated 10,000 times for every team in a league: expected wins, playoff odds, and title odds from each roster’s projected lineup. That takes real standings and rosters — a guest has neither.

How this works

A separate engine that answers a different question: not what your players are worth, but what your team does this season. Every player is re-priced as a rest-of-season projection — a redraft lens: this year’s points only, no age curves, no dynasty value. Each team’s best lineup is projected, then the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times (the remaining regular-season weeks, plus the six-team playoffs). Nothing here feeds the dynasty values, the power score, or the trade calculator’s verdict — those stay exactly as they were. What it does feed is trade advice: the Trade Finder and the calculator show each deal’s title-odds swing next to its dynasty math, because a deal can be fair on value and still wrong for your window. Projections use this league’s actual scoring and do not move with the League format explorer.

Start / sit lives here

The optimal lineup for your roster each week — byes and injuries auto-benched — plus your real matchup preview with a win probability and the decisions the game swings on. It starts from your roster, and a guest doesn’t have one.

How this works

The weekly question: who do I start Sunday? For the team you pick, this builds the optimal lineup for the current week from the same rest-of-season projections behind Season Outlook — with a one-week availability adjustment on top: a player on bye or listed Out / IR / PUP / Suspended projects for zero and is auto-benched, Doubtful is halved, Questionable is trimmed 10%. A player with no NFL team — unsigned, per the same live Sleeper players feed that carries the injury designations — projects for zero, is labeled Unsigned, and is excluded from the optimal lineup entirely, whatever his dynasty value says. A signed player outside the priced pool shows Unpriced rather than a fake zero: his projection is unknown, and he starts only when no priced option exists. Below it, the current real Sleeper matchup: both teams' optimal lineups, a win probability, and the decisions the game swings on. Same separation rule as everything else here — projections never touch dynasty values, and nothing in this tab moves a price on the board.

Trade Calculator

Opened from a shared link — this exact trade was restored from the URL, and the verdict below is computed from the current values.

Trade Finder

Trade Finder lives here

The finder scans the other rosters in a league for window-correct deals — contenders buy production with picks and depth (and never see a deal that lowers their projected points per week), rebuilders sell veterans for picks and youth, and each deal carries its title-odds swing. The calculator above works without a league; the finder can’t.

How the calculator works

Build a deal from any two rosters (or the free-agent pool). The verdict weighs consolidation-adjusted value and team fit — every asset is quality-weighted, so one stud is not outweighed by a pile of lesser pieces — and whether the pieces fill a need, cost a starter, or fight a team's competitive window.

How the Trade Finder works

Pick a team and the finder works your window, not just your needs. A Win-Now team only sees buys: picks, prospects and depth go out, production comes in — and every idea is checked against the rest-of-season projection engine, so a deal that lowers your optimal lineup’s projected points per week never appears, however the dynasty values balance. A Rebuilder only sees sells: veteran starters converted into picks and young value, with the points-per-week cost printed on the deal. Tweeners see both directions, each labeled with the window it serves. Targets are priced on the youth-plus-production curve — a young producer costs real capital, an aging veteran with the same points is the discount aisle — and partners are matched by mirror windows: buyers shop from rebuilders, sellers shop to contenders.

Real Trades

Player prices are our algorithm's current values — what the pieces are worth today, next to what they fetched then. Pick prices use the mid slot on our pick ladder (2027–2029 rookie picks); picks from the 2025–26 classes — rookie picks dealt before their draft, and startup-draft picks in then-new leagues — are marked already drafted and shown unpriced: they really changed hands, but that draft is over and the pick itself no longer exists as a tradeable asset. A side with no players or picks listed received FAAB or considerations the feed doesn't itemize. Source: completed trades from public Sleeper leagues, collected Oct 18, 2026.

How this works

Not a hypothetical — completed trades from real public Sleeper leagues, with our algorithm's current price on every player and pick. Search a player and see what managers actually paid for him: the fastest way to sanity-check any offer on your table. One honest caveat: the sample leans toward active, multi-league managers, so read it as the live trade market, not a census of every league.

Insights

How this works

Data-first dynasty breakdowns drafted from the same numbers as the board — weekly value movement, form edges, rookie pick prices, and the mechanics behind our prices. Every figure comes from the current snapshot of our proprietary Dynasty Value Algorithm.

Waiver Targets

Waiver targets live here

Every unrostered player, ranked by what he would do for your lineup — his projected points per week against the weakest starter he’d have to beat — with a suggested FAAB bid on each. The ranking is relative to a roster, and a guest doesn’t have one yet.

How waiver targets work

Every unrostered player in the snapshot, ranked for the team you pick — not by dynasty value, but by what he would do for that lineup. The bar is set by the rest-of-season projection engine (the same one behind Season Outlook, and kept separate from dynasty value): a target’s value-add is his projected points per week minus the weakest starter he’d have to beat at his position, flex and superflex slots included. Young players with a rising role clock get their own stash list — in dynasty, that’s usually where the wire pays. This league runs FAAB with a $300 budget, so every target carries a suggested bid. One honest note: with 32-man rosters, most weeks this wire is thin, and this page says so instead of dressing up a name.

Risers & Fallers

How risers & fallers work

Every completed week is stored per player, so movement is a first-class signal, not an afterthought. The role clock (snap share + opportunities) moves 1–2 weeks before the points do; where the two clocks disagree, the engine flags a buy low (role rising, production lagging) or a sell high (production spiking on a flat role). Moves above are the latest weekly step at the format set in the League Format block in More. Weekly moves feed the model tilt only — the algorithm’s calibration keeps any single week from dragging a value more than ±15% from its baseline.

League Format

A second QB starts in the SUPER_FLEX slot — QB2s hold real value instead of riding the bench. Turn it off and every quarterback re-prices by exactly ×0.514 — the model's measured superflex-to-1QB exchange rate, the same for every QB (our algorithm prices Josh Allen at 10,776 in superflex, 5,539 in 1QB) — because only 12 QBs start and a replacement is always on the wire.
Calibrated to the measured market response: across the full 0→1 range, WRs move ~2%, TEs ~2%, and RBs don't move at all.
Extra points on every tight-end reception, on top of PPR. Calibrated to the measured market response: elite TEs gain ×1.11 at the TE+ tier (+0.5 to +0.75 per catch).
Points for each passing touchdown — a QB-only lever.

How Values Work